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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2020-01-14T10:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2020-01-14T10:00Z
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2020-01-18T15:29Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:

% Compiled module: EAM_V2.
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Most pr. speed = 260.0 km/s 
u_r =      308.536
Acceleration:      0.493266
Duration in seconds:        365368.23
Duration in days:        4.2287990
t2 is negative
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Acceleration of the CME:   0.49 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  488.8 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 18/01/2020 Time: 15:29 UT

Lead Time: 39.07 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2020-01-17T00:25Z

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